Black Friday PPC strategy: Your AI search playbook

How leading retailers use search intelligence to navigate AI Overviews, optimize Shopping ads, and win market share.

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Black Friday is a key period for every retail search team. With peak budgets, short buying windows, and mounting pressure to outperform competitors, retail marketers need a solid strategy. 

Yet many advertisers enter Q4 with blind spots: uncertain what competitors are doing, unclear how market dynamics are shifting, and unsure where ad spend is underperforming.

To make matters more complex, the rise of Google’s AI Overviews pushes Shopping ads further down the page. In a recent Adthena study, retail has the highest frequency of AIOs on long-tail queries at 82% – the very searches that often indicate high purchase intent. This shift quietly erodes visibility on key terms that drive conversions, introducing new volatility into traffic and revenue projections ahead of Black Friday.

The cost of inaction or poor visibility is high. When CPCs spike unexpectedly, impression share plummets, or Performance Max campaigns deliver inconsistent results, the consequences aren’t just tactical, they’re commercial.

Why retail marketers face greater complexity than ever

This year’s Black Friday landscape is more competitive, more opaque, and more dynamic than in previous years. The pressure to deliver short-term results is intensified by factors that are outside most advertisers’ control:

  • Changes in Google Ads, including double-serving and limited visibility in auction insights, make it harder to understand why you’re losing impression share.
  • SERP volatility, with new formats like AI Overviews, is displacing traditional paid placements and disrupting the path to purchase.
  • Performance Max campaigns offer more comprehensive reporting than before but blur the lines between search and shopping insights, leaving gaps in channel-level performance.

This convergence of complexity is forcing retail marketers to reassess how they plan, monitor, and optimize their paid search strategy in Q4.

What most teams are still missing

Even well-resourced teams with solid campaign structures can fall short without clear visibility into four critical areas:

  1. Search term coverage: Are you appearing for all the high-intent terms your customers are searching for? Are competitors capturing demand you’re missing?
  2. Pricing: How do your prices compare to competitors in real-time? 
  3. Offers & promotions: Are your offers and discounts competitive enough, and well timed? 
  4. Budget allocation: Are you investing efficiently across brand, generic, and competitor terms? Or are your budgets heavily skewed with limited ROI?
  5. Brand protection: Are third-party sellers or competitors inflating your brand CPCs through infringements and brand bidding?

When these questions go unanswered, campaign performance is left to chance. And in the most critical retail trading period of the year, that’s a risk few advertisers can afford.

4 ways to boost search visibility now

There are several underused tools and tactics advertisers can apply immediately to uncover opportunities and mitigate risk before Black Friday hits:

Google Ads Transparency Center

You can get a sample view of what ads your competitors are running by looking up their domain.

Key limitations:

  • Only provides a sample of live ads, not full historical context
  • Displays ads only from verified advertisers
  • Requires manual checks, which is time consuming at scale

Google Merchant Center benchmarks 

Check how your product pricing compares to benchmark prices for similar products.

Key limitations:

  • No ad specific data for estimated impressions and images
  • Excludes products with low clicks or sold by only a few retailers
  • Shows only broad category or brand price benchmarks, not specific competitor prices

Auction Insights & Keyword Planner

Get a directional view of competitive activity and seasonal search demand.

Key limitations:

  • Auction Insights doesn’t show all competitors due to impression share thresholds and other limitations
  • Impression share can be skewed by tactics like double-serving
  • Keyword Planner doesn’t provide visibility into competitor-specific insights or gaps in your own coverage

YoY performance reviews

Identify what performed well (and what didn’t) last year to inform better decisions this year.

Key limitation:

  • YoY data doesn’t reflect changes or visibility into the search landscape, such as the growing impact of AI Overviews or increased double-serving 
  • As a result, performance benchmarks like impression share or CTR may no longer be directly comparable

These tactics won’t give you a whole market view, but they can reveal blind spots and help you take action in areas you control, especially around price, timing, and term coverage.

What leading retail advertisers are doing differently

Leading retail advertisers aren’t relying on last year’s data or Google’s native reports alone. They’re gaining competitive advantage across four critical areas:

  1. Adapting to AI Overviews: With AIOs appearing on 82% of long-tail retail queries, smart advertisers track how this SERP displacement affects their visibility on high-intent Black Friday terms and identify which competitors are maintaining share despite the changes.
  2. Real-time creative intelligence: They monitor when competitors launch new offers, which promotional messages are saturating the market, and how to differentiate their own Black Friday creative to avoid bidding wars on oversaturated terms.
  3. Competitive shopping analysis: Beyond basic feed management, they analyze how their product titles, pricing, and impression coverage compared to competitors in shared Shopping results, revealing gaps and informing Performance Max optimizations.

Strategic market share tracking: Rather than distributing budgets historically, they identify where competitors are increasing spend, where new entrants are capturing demand, and where genuine growth opportunities exist.

How Adthena powers these strategies

1. AI Overview impact

With the rise of AI Overviews, advertisers need visibility into how Google’s results pages are actually changing in their category. 

With Adthena’s Search Landscape dashboard, you can track visibility changes on critical Black Friday terms, giving you a live, tailored view of how the SERP is shifting in your specific market. Whether it’s AI Overviews or Product Listings, you can see which features are becoming more prominent and which are disappearing, across your critical search terms and competitors.

A line graph generated within Adthena titled "Search feature frequency - May 30 to Jul 18" shows the frequency of various search features over time

Adthena’s Search Landscape dashboard gives you a live, tailored view of how the SERP is shifting in your specific market. 

A dashboard generated within Adthena shows a leading retailer's insights over three Google AI Overview charts: Frequency, Complex Query Frequency, and Search Intent Distribution.

Adthena’s Google AI Overview dashboard showing insights for a representative retail brand, across three key charts: Frequency, Complex Query Frequency, and Search Intent Distribution.

2. Ad copy insights

Monitor when and where competitors are launching offers to inform your timing and messaging.

A table generated within Adthena details competitor promotions and USPs with ad copy examples and prevalence, followed by key takeaways.

Adthena’s Top Ads insights showing competitive messaging for leading Retail brands 

Adthena’s GenAI agent, Ask Arlo, can go that one step further and simplify your marketing campaigns by delivering instant, tailored insights in seconds to help you uncover competitive trends across your landscape.

“Arlo, could you create a brief summary of all the promotions and USPs the competitors used in their ad copy in October 2024? Please provide data in a table with a list of core promotions, themes and USPs.”

A table generated within Adthena compares competitors by average price, SKU discount, impressions, and discount story, followed by a section on search-term groups.

Adthena’s Ask Arlo showing how you can extract your ad copy data with instant answers and tailored insights

3. Shopping intelligence

Compare pricing and presentation against competitors in shared results.

A table generated within Adthena compares competitors by average price, SKU discount, impressions, and discount story, followed by a section on search-term groups.

Adthena’s platform showing all the shopping ads seen on Google over the last 30 days for US Retail.

While Adthena captures all this raw competitive Shopping data, Ask Arlo transforms it into instant insights. For example, you can simply ask “Using Shopping data, show me how Competitors are discounting their products and which search term groups are being prioritized” and get immediate, actionable analysis that informs shopping optimizations.

A table generated within Adthena compares competitors by average price, SKU discount, impressions, and discount story, followed by a section on search-term groups.

Adthena’s Ask Arlo showing how you can extract your shopping data with instant answers and tailored insights.

4. PPC Market Share trends

Identify emerging threats and category shifts before they impact your performance.

A donut chart generated within Adthena shows market share percentages for various e-commerce websites, with "others" dominating.

Adthena’s market share reports showing Share of Clicks for top 10 US Retail Apparel & Accessories brands over the last month.

From uncertainty to control: What Retail marketers really need

Retail marketers don’t want more dashboards; they want clarity. They need to understand why CPCs are spiking, which competitor just launched an aggressive offer, and where their campaigns are underperforming.

What they’re seeking is confidence: confidence that budgets are working efficiently, that they’re not missing valuable demand, and that they can defend performance when questioned. In Black Friday’s high-pressure environment, having competitive intelligence that turns reactive scrambling into proactive strategy is key.

Preparing for peak season success

Success this season comes from preparation, not panic spending. Before the rush begins:

  • Audit your competitive blind spots: Identify gaps in keyword targeting and visibility
  • Benchmark your market position: Understand how your pricing and offers stack up before the promotional battle intensifies
  • Optimize your Shopping presence: Ensure product titles and pricing can compete in Shopping results
  • Rebalance budget allocation: Shift spend toward genuine opportunities rather than defensive bidding
  • Set up proactive monitoring: Don’t wait to react. Track competitor moves as they happen

Now is the time to shift from reactive to proactive.

Ready to gain the competitive edge that transforms Black Friday performance? Connect with Adthena today.

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